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NIX POWER LAB — The Absurdly Forensic Midnight Mystery | NIX Stories

NIX POWER LAB
The ledgerFingerprintsThe mysteryInterrogatePower sourcesVerdict
Cinematic illustration of Vanilla parked in the Peak District at night, its electrical system visualised as glowing orange energy trails
NIX STORIES • FORENSIC BLACK-BOX EDITION • OCTOBER 2026

Vanilla versus the darknessThe 600 Wh
midnight mystery

Three Victron exports. 1,584 solar-hour rows. 624 shunt-hour rows. Twenty-five reconstructed nights. A 600 Wh double mystery — and an energy ledger so forensic it needs its own evidence room.

Open the case file ↓Disable movement
400 Wh
Daventry overnight
409 Wh
Peak District overnight
601 Wh
20 October mystery
14.94 kWh
Solar since 27 August
Artwork is a cinematic AI concept. Numbers visible inside the pictures are decorative, not Victron measurements; for example, Vanilla's real roof panel is rated at 200 W, not the higher fictional solar figures in the illustrations. The charts and figures in the article use your recorded exports.
Case file 001 / Chain of custody / Raw data before theories

EVERY AMP-HOUR
UNDER OATH.

This is the part where the cosy campervan blog turns into an electrical crime scene. Three raw exports. Hundreds of time-stamped battery readings. Competing energy sources. Midnight spikes. A daylight-saving complication. And, crucially, no individual appliance meter. We can test the arithmetic brutally. We cannot manufacture measurements that were never taken.

Solar-hour records
1,584

66 days × 24 rows; 1,564 have solar, load and voltage values.

SmartShunt hourly records
624

6–31 Oct; 611 have charge and SOC values.

Controller daily records
26

Usable daily summaries; 1–5 Oct are missing in this export.

Observed night profiles
25

19:00–07:00 twelve-row windows, 6–30 Oct.

Strong evidence

What the shunt does measure

Signed hourly charge in amp-hours and estimated battery state of charge. Pairing the Ah with the logged battery voltage gives an approximate watt-hour equivalent for the hour. During a wholly negative-charge window this captures net battery energy out — not a separate fridge or heater reading.

Not directly measured

What the export cannot reveal

Exact instantaneous wattage, Webasto duty cycle, individual fridge compressor cycles, which devices charged, where the 20 and 23 October nights occurred, and whether a separate Jackery fed any devices. There is no installed inverter, despite earlier assumptions.

Metrology warning

Watt-hours ≠ watts

601 Wh spread over twelve hours corresponds to about 50 W average. The worst measured hour was approximately 90 Wh — equivalent to 90 W averaged over that hour. None of these establish a 601 W instantaneous load.

Chronology warning

25 October clock-change problem

The UK clocks went back on 25 October 2026. The export has only one row labelled 01:00 and no UTC offset. That means an absolute 25 October timeline cannot be fully reconstructed from these timestamp strings alone.

Exhibit A / The exact arithmetic
20 October, 21:00: −6.86 Ah × 13.13 V = approximately −90.07 Wh

The Ah value is signed; negative means net battery discharge. Watt-hours calculated with one hourly voltage sample approximate, rather than independently meter, the true integrated energy.

CHAPTER 01 / WHAT THE LOGS SAY

Twelve hours.
Two campsites.
One pattern.

At Daventry and in the Peak District, Vanilla's battery recorded almost identical overnight energy use — despite different locations and conditions. That gives us an unusually useful real-world baseline.

Daventry • 10–11 October
400 Wh

30.32 Ah discharged across the 19:00–07:00 window, estimated using logged battery voltage. Average around 33 W.

Peak District • 19–20 October
409 Wh

30.98 Ah across the matching window. Average around 34 W. Only about 2.3% more energy than Daventry.

These weren't laboratory tests. They were actual nights in a campervan: your 50-litre compressor fridge operating, the Webasto diesel heater set to approximately 21°C, interior electrical equipment active, and portable devices being charged.

The important detail is that all these consumers share the battery. The SmartShunt doesn't label individual appliances, but it does reveal the total net energy leaving the leisure battery. And, on these two dates, the combined demand was strikingly repeatable.

The takeaway: Around 400 Wh per inhabited overnight period is a defensible description of those two recorded camping nights. It is not a universal daily average, and it is not proof that the heater alone consumed any particular share.

Split cinematic illustration of Vanilla at Daventry and in the Peak District, connected by orange energy traces
DAVENTRY / PEAK DISTRICT

The two-night comparison.

Different roads. Different skies. Almost the same draw from the Fogstar battery. Actual readings: 400 Wh versus 409 Wh.

Visual is an artistic interpretation; its embedded numerical overlays are fictional.
THE INTERACTIVE EVIDENCE ROOM

Follow every hour.

Choose any overnight window. The trace below is reconstructed from the hourly signed amp-hour readings multiplied by the corresponding logged battery voltage. Taller peaks mean more energy left the battery in that hour.

20 Oct mystery

601 WhSOC 81.2% → 37.4%
LOCATION NOT CONFIRMED
19:0021:0023:0001:0003:0006:00

Select a bar to inspect its recorded energy discharge.

The hourly figures are period-labelled export values; they are not instant readings. The chart is based on a 12-hour row window, ending before the 07:00 row.

10–11 OCT · DAVENTRY400 WhConfirmed camping
19–20 OCT · PEAK DISTRICT409 WhConfirmed camping
20–21 OCT · UNKNOWN601 WhHigh-demand night
23–24 OCT · UNKNOWN597 WhHigh-demand night
Case file 002 / Temporal fingerprints / Same totals, different crimes

600 Wh twice.
Two different signatures.

The headline says “600 Wh mystery”. The detective work says something far more interesting: 20–21 October and 23–24 October look different when the clock is allowed to testify. Select the night, then interrogate the 12 hourly observations.

20–21 Oct23–24 OctDaventryPeak District
20–21 October / late-night trace
601 Wh

Five hours before midnight account for 68% of the twelve-hour battery discharge.

EVENING 68% • AFTER MIDNIGHT 32%
408.3 Wh + 192.3 Wh = 600.6 Wh

Five rows cover 19:00–23:00; seven cover 00:00–06:00. Date and location cannot be inferred from this shape alone.

Hourly discharge fingerprint

Requires JavaScript for live trace. Facts and comparisons are printed below.
Tap any plotted point for its timestamp, Ah and Wh. The trace is a sample-based energy estimate, not instantaneous wattage.
20 Oct / first five hours
408 Wh

68% of this 601 Wh night came before midnight.

20 Oct / final seven hours
192 Wh

About 27.5 W as an hourly average.

23 Oct / first five hours
276 Wh

46% of this 597 Wh night came before midnight.

23 Oct / final seven hours
321 Wh

54% after midnight; a different temporal shape.

Exhibit B / Hour by hour, without hiding the inconvenient hours

The 8-night thermal-style discharge matrix

Each square is one hour of net discharge in Wh, from 19:00 through 06:00. Darker means quieter; brighter orange means heavier demand. This is a power-use heatmap, not a thermal camera photograph.

Night
19
20
21
22
23
00
01
02
03
04
05
06
20 Oct
68
89
90
89
72
35
28
28
26
28
25
23
The standout run on 20 October is 20:00–22:00: approximately 268.6 Wh across three consecutive hours, equivalent to about 89.5 W averaged across that period.

Times are the labels in the source exports; timezone and measurement-window semantics are not independently verified.

CHAPTER 02 / THE INCONVENIENT EXTRA 200 Wh

The evening that
changed everything.

On 20 October, the discharge didn't rise evenly through the night. It surged in the evening and then settled down around midnight. That's the clue.

20 OCT · 19:00–23:00
408 Wh

Approximately two-thirds of the total overnight energy was recorded during the first five hours. The combined draw averaged about 82 W across that period.

Evening 68%After midnight 32%
21 OCT · 00:00–06:00
192 Wh

The subsequent seven recorded hours averaged roughly 27 W, much closer to the steady middle-of-night levels seen during camping.

Total ≈601 Wh from the two periods combined. Values are rounded.

This is why describing the whole night as a heater problem would be premature. At a normal running draw, a diesel heater alone doesn't explain a sustained roughly 82 W battery demand. Device charging, additional lighting, compressor activity or another temporary load could all contribute.

There's also a second approximately 597 Wh period on 23–24 October. We do not have reliable location or appliance records for that night. The correct forensic conclusion is that the load was high — not that we know what caused it.

Don't confuse energy and power: 601 Wh is the energy used over the twelve-hour interval; it is not a continuous 601 W electrical load. The overnight average was approximately 50 W.

Cinematic technical illustration of Vanilla's solar, battery, fridge, Webasto heater and device charging, connected with orange power flows
A CAMPERVAN IS A SMALL POWER STATION

Every watt has
somewhere to go.

The fridge, Webasto and device chargers can all operate together. The SmartShunt sees their combined net effect — not separate appliance totals.

Futuristic readouts inside the image are illustrative only, not actual device wattages.
Exhibit D / Full sampling frame / Twenty-five nights, no selective omissions

THE COMPLETE
MIDNIGHT LEDGER.

We haven't just shown the interesting nights. This ranking includes all 25 complete 12-row overnight windows from 6 to 30 October. Six contain positive battery-charge intervals. Their net totals can be negative; that means more energy was added than removed over the window, not that the fridge somehow generated electricity.

Highest net drainChronological
Night startingNet battery out WhCharging intervalsSOC start → endContext
20 Oct+601None81.2 → 37.4%Location unconfirmed
23 Oct+597None92.5 → 51.8%Location unconfirmed
09 Oct+505None—Location unconfirmed

A signed net energy equivalent is used consistently: −Σ(Ah × voltage). It is not gross appliance consumption on any night containing positive charging. Six such nights are therefore separated from direct no-charge comparison.

Third-largest purely discharging night: 9–10 October, approximately 505 Wh over 12 hours. Location and appliance details are not established. It is a genuine clue that the first two 600 Wh nights were not the only periods with heavy consumption.
Case file 003 / Charge-path cross-examination

When the sun is down,
who is charging?

Some positive battery-charge readings occur when the solar export reports zero watt-hours. That's not a paradox: Vanilla has an alternator-fed Victron Orion and a mains charger. But the logs cannot tell which one was operating. And a positive net Ah value cannot be treated as fridge power.

29 Oct · 22:00
+26.58 Ah

Solar logged 0 Wh. Positive battery charging is established; source unknown.

30 Oct · 08:00
+27.87 Ah

Solar logged 4 Wh. A substantial non-solar contribution is implied.

21 Oct · 10:00
+25.59 Ah

Hourly solar logged just 8 Wh.

Solar load output
0 Wh

Most hourly load entries show zero; that is not whole-campervan consumption.

The energy balance

Δ battery energy ≈ solar + alternator + mains − fridge − heater − charging devices − lighting − standby

That is a conceptual system balance. The SmartShunt sees the net battery-side result, provided all charging and loads pass through its shunt. Source-by-source attribution needs separate meters or a controlled test.

Top positive-charge observations

These are interval Ah values with a voltage-derived energy equivalent; neither the input source nor the true instantaneous charger current is proved.

Local rowNet AhApprox. WhSolar Wh
29 Oct 22:00+26.58+366.50
30 Oct 08:00+27.87+389.14
CHAPTER 03 / THE POWER SUSPECTS

Fridge. Heat.
Charging. Repeat.

The fridge stays switched on, but its compressor cycles. The Webasto runs to maintain a 21°C setting, yet its electrical draw changes with fan speed and starts. Device charging adds bursts of demand. None is individually metered in these exports.

On four quieter comparison nights, total battery use was approximately 88–110 Wh over twelve hours — around 7–9 W on average. That is a useful system baseline, not a fridge-only reading. Standby electronics and anything else left running are included.

On the two confirmed camping nights, demand averaged 33–34 W. A crude difference of around 25 W above baseline is consistent with heating and habitation, but cannot be assigned uniquely to the Webasto because device charging, lighting and fridge cycling also change.

INTERACTIVE / HYPOTHETICAL SCENARIO

Build a 12-hour camping night

Adjust the inputs to see how fridge, heater, USB charging and other loads might add up. This is a scenario model, not recovered appliance telemetry.

Fridge + standby baseline7.5 W
Webasto average electrical load20 W
USB / device charging total50 Wh
Other loads (lighting etc.)20 Wh
ESTIMATED 12-HOUR ENERGY
400 Wh
Matches Daventry's recorded 400 Wh
BaselineHeaterDevicesOther

Even a perfect total match does not prove the appliance split. Plenty of different combinations could produce the same 400 Wh.

One critical detail: If devices are charged from a separate Jackery power station, that energy is not counted by the Fogstar SmartShunt — unless the Jackery itself is being recharged from the Fogstar system. The charging source changes the interpretation.

Case file 004 / The state-of-charge tribunal

105 Ah says one thing.
SOC sometimes says another.

A forensic energy audit should cross-check two independent descriptions of a night's battery use: summed amp-hours and the reported fall in state of charge. They are related, but they don't match perfectly — and pretending otherwise would make this investigation less reliable.

The 105 Ah sanity-check table

Expected SOC fall = discharged Ah ÷ 105 Ah × 100. Disagreement can arise from timestamp alignment, SmartShunt calibration or SOC synchronisation, battery-current integration and rounding. It is not by itself proof of a defective battery.

Night startingNet Ah outImplied SOC fallLogged SOC fallDisagreement
10 Oct30.32 Ah28.9%28.3%−0.6 pp
19 Oct30.98 Ah29.5%25.7%−3.8 pp
20 Oct45.86 Ah43.7%43.8%+0.1 pp
23 Oct45.48 Ah43.3%40.7%−2.6 pp

pp = percentage points. This comparison assumes the SmartShunt's capacity is correctly configured to 105 Ah. SOC endpoint labels and interval Ah labels may not be exactly aligned.

Exhibit C / 19 October in full
30.98 Ah ÷ 105 Ah = 29.5% nominal capacity used; logged SOC fell 25.7%; difference ≈ 3.8 percentage points.

That discrepancy makes the charge and SOC streams useful cross-checks, not interchangeable measurements. A proper calibration audit should precede conclusions about actual usable capacity or battery health.

CHAPTER 04 / THE SUN SETS ON SUMMER

200 watts on the roof.
October disagrees.

Your rated 200 W rooftop panel does not supply 200 W all day. The hourly records capture the seasonal decline as autumn sunlight weakens and days shorten. They also show why good solar alone is not guaranteed to offset a cold camping night.

Solar since 27 August14.94 kWh
September harvested8.38 kWh
October harvested5.33 kWh

Every October day

Actual daily harvest from the hourly Solar History CSV. Tap any bar to inspect it.

31 DAYS OF EVIDENCE
20 Oct · 44 WhOne of the weakest recorded days.
September daily average
279 Wh

Across 30 days, based on 8,382 Wh recorded generation.

October daily average
172 Wh

A drop of approximately 38% relative to September. 31 October's record is partial.

From 20–24 October, the solar system harvested just 447 Wh in five days. That's only around 89 Wh per day — roughly a quarter of a single 400 Wh camping night. This is why the alternator charger and mains charger matter so much in autumn.

CHAPTER 05 / HOW MANY NIGHTS LEFT?

Try the off-grid
survival calculator.

The Fogstar Drift is rated at 105 Ah, approximately 1,344 Wh nominal. Planning conservatively from 100% down to 20% leaves about 1,075 Wh before any losses. Move the controls to build a scenario.

ILLUSTRATIVE BATTERY ENDURANCE
3.3
Days to 20% reserve

Assumes a full battery, no alternator/mains charging and repeating the same solar harvest and electrical demand each day.

Daily total electrical demand500 Wh
Daily useful solar harvest172 Wh

Solar is variable. Use 0–90 Wh as a tougher autumn-weather scenario, not a guaranteed forecast.

There is no single correct answer to how long a campervan lasts off-grid. On a quiet parked day, consumption may be low. On a cold inhabited night, demand rises. Device charging and power-station use complicate the picture further.

Most importantly, the SmartShunt's hourly data can show battery energy movement, but not a guaranteed future runtime. The battery's real usable capacity, the external chargers and unpredictable winter sunshine all influence the result.

Case file 005 / Independent CSVs do not always agree

The meter audit
gets uncomfortable.

This is where we stop admiring the graphs and start questioning the instrumentation. The daily MPPT history and the hourly solar export describe the same system, but their daily totals are not identical. Some differences are small; one is large enough to demand attention.

Daily comparison rows
26

6–31 Oct with valid MPPT daily yield records.

Combined daily MPPT yield
4.15 kWh

For those same 26 calendar dates only.

Summed hourly yield
4.075 kWh

For the same subset of dates.

Largest disagreement
44 Wh

15 Oct: 180 Wh daily record versus 224 Wh hourly sum.

Daily yield reconciliation

Choose a day from the 26 overlapping daily controller records. A difference is evidence of two aggregation methods disagreeing; it is not automatically lost power or a faulty panel.

← EarlierLater →
15 Oct 2026
−44 Wh
MPPT 180 Wh − hourly sum 224 Wh = −44 Wh

Potential contributors include export rounding, differences in sample aggregation and clock/window boundaries. We cannot decide which without the original controller records and logging configuration.

All 26 days, no cherry-picking

Oct dateControllerHourly sumΔ Wh
15 Oct180224−44
30 Oct130122+8
Time-zone caveat: 25 October's DST transition is not represented with an unambiguous local 01:00 hour. Date-scoped totals are usable as supplied, but the full clock-time sequence on that particular morning cannot be independently resolved.
Case file 006 / Interrogate the unknown energy

Every hypothesis
must balance.

Try to explain the 20 October 19:00–23:00 spike — 408.3 Wh in five hours — using a hypothetical fridge/standby baseline, average heater draw and device charging. This is a constrained accounting exercise, not automatic appliance identification.

Reconstruct the five-hour spike

Fridge + standby average 8 W
Heater average electric input 22 W
Devices, during five hours 90 Wh
Other loads, during five hours 20 Wh

These are user-adjustable assumptions. A charger delivering 90 Wh to devices may consume more at the battery due to conversion losses. Heater-start surges are averaged into the scenario if they occurred.

The energy-accounting verdict
260 Wh explained
Observed
408.3

Wh measured-equivalent

Scenario
260

Wh hypothetically assigned

Residual
148

Wh unassigned (+) or overallocated (−)

A nonzero residual means this selection doesn't account for the measured battery demand.

Critical: Even a zero residual is not proof. With four adjustable inputs and one measured total, countless explanations can balance the same equation. This is an underdetermined system.

How to actually solve it

Controlled test A

Fridge: Watch SmartShunt live amps with heater and chargers off. Record compressor-on and compressor-off currents; repeat several cycles without changing fridge settings.

Controlled test B

Webasto: Keep fridge conditions stable; compare shunt current before startup, during startup and after reaching 21°C. Do not disconnect heater power during shutdown.

Controlled test C

Device charging: Connect one charger at a time for a known interval. Repeat for the iPhone, iPad, MacBook or Jackery, documenting their starting and ending charge.

Controlled test D

Instrumentation: Verify charger paths all pass through the SmartShunt. Log direct shunt measurements and capture SOC before and after, without simultaneous driving or mains hookup.

Evidence release / independent reproduction

Don't take my word
for a single watt-hour.

The article carries its own derived, time-labelled night ledger. Export the comparison values and recalculate the numbers yourself. The released CSV is a derived evidence table, not a replacement for the three original raw files.

Download forensic hourly CSV ↓

Generated locally from the data embedded in this HTML; requires JavaScript and browser download permission. No external analytics or API connection.

CASE CLOSED?

Not yet. The measured energy is real. The cause of every individual watt-hour is still an open question. That's what makes it interesting.

THE FINDINGS / NIX POWER LAB

The verdict.
Not a battery mystery.
A usage mystery.

Vanilla's records strongly support different usage modes rather than a constant hidden battery drain. The two confirmed camping nights are consistent. The high-demand evenings are real, but their individual causes remain unidentified.

01 / SOLAR

Working, but seasonal.

The MPPT logged meaningful solar generation; October output was lower than September. Its dedicated load-output field is not a whole-van energy meter.

02 / FOGSTAR

The battery is supplying real loads.

Camping nights around 400 Wh are consistent with an active campervan. Overnight readings alone cannot prove battery health, capacity or exact heater demand.

03 / NEXT TEST

Measure individual suspects.

Use the SmartShunt's live current reading with the fridge cycling, heater running and device chargers plugged in separately. That is how the remaining mystery gets solved.

The big revelation: Your normal quiet-night baseline is around 7–9 W, while the confirmed camping nights averaged 33–34 W. A later evening briefly averaged roughly 82 W. Those are three different operating states — and treating them as one would lead to the wrong diagnosis.

NIX POWER LAB.

Real journeys. Real logs. Serious curiosity.

DATA NOTE / TRANSPARENCY

Source exports: Solar History.csv, PV and Battery Data.csv and Solar Charge and SOC Data.csv, recorded through 31 October 2026. For each overnight period, 12 labelled hourly entries from 19:00 through 06:00 are summed, using estimated Wh = negative Ah × recorded battery voltage. Values are rounded; hourly timestamp conventions and charge metering may shift exact hour-to-hour alignment. SmartShunt net charge is not a device-level submeter, and the MPPT load output does not represent all leisure-battery appliances. All hero illustrations are fictional visualisations; images' embedded graphics must not be interpreted as actual telemetry, weather, location coordinates or campsite details. The campervan has no installed inverter. The October 25 clock-change is ambiguous because timestamps lack UTC offsets; summed hourly solar and controller daily yields show measurable differences. Decorative hero imagery contains invented telemetry, including values exceeding the real 200 W solar rating. Designed for the NIX Stories self-contained immersive format.